fun facts

A mind-boggling probability problem

I’ve decided when it comes to probability, I must completely ignore intuition to give myself a fighting chance. “A man comes up to you on the street and says: I have two children. At least one of them is a […]

under the microscope

A decent study on surgical mask effectiveness

They screened through a few thousand people to find 246 people who had viruses, then did a randomized controlled test of surgical masks. “Surgical face masks significantly reduced detection of influenza virus RNA in respiratory droplets and coronavirus RNA in […]

on the blockchain

Polymarket prediction market in action

There’s a mini-scandal going on between Scott Alexander, pseudonymous author of the popular blog Slate Star Codex, and the New York Times that’s threatened to publish his real name (for no good reason). You can bet on whether NYT publishes […]