Pavel Sokolovsky

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big ideas · Oct 2023

The techno-optimist manifesto.

This recent post by Marc Andreessen is recommended reading for tech enthusiasts and skeptics alike. I particularly liked this line, a reference to the silicon sand that powers our modern world: “We believe Artificial Intelligence is our alchemy, our Philosopher’s Stone – we are literally making sand think.” ~ learn more

big ideas · Oct 2023

Riskophilia.

This post by Packy McCormick overlaps with Andreessen’s manifesto (linked above). He points out that the prevailing attitude that America has adopted is a shift from a belief that people are competent and responsible to one where they need supervision and protection. “The movement is against the idea of risk minimization as a goal. It’s against the culture of safetyism that we’ve all allowed to seep into every corner of…

fun facts · Oct 2023

ACT test scores for U.S. students drop to a 30-year low.

This is fun because you can overfit whatever your preferred explanation is to this outcome. “Scores have been falling for six consecutive years, but the trend accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic.” I’d love to see some more granular data, starting with average test completion time. ~ learn more

fun facts · Oct 2023

Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started.

This is published evidence from 350,757 flips among 48 flippers. The bias comes from the flippers, because most people can’t seem to flip coins without also introducing a wobble. That causes them to land on the same side that they started 50.8% of the time. ~ learn more and original paper

oh, Austin · Oct 2023

A bearish view of Austin’s office space market.

This article from the Washington Post is sprinkled with bad-sounding factoids about vacant space throughout the city’s new buildings. “Roughly 87 percent of new office space is expected to open vacant, according to data from the commercial real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield.” However, I think the article doesn’t actually tell a cohesive story about the market and its sentiment could easily be shown ‘wrong’ in the next couple years.…

tech, startups, internet · Oct 2023

State of AI Report 2023.

This annual report by Nathan Benaich and team is well worth the read in all its 163-slide glory. You can start with this link for Nathan’s “director’s cut” of slides that stood out to him. ~ learn more

tech, startups, internet · Oct 2023

The definitive list of digital health unicorns.

There are currently 66 private companies valued at over $1 Billion. Another 3 are in the ‘deadpool’ and others have been acquired or have gone public. ~ learn more

tech, startups, internet · Oct 2023

Rekindling my admiration of ChatGPT with photo inputs.

I knew that the product recently enabled uploading images, but I hadn’t tried it until I saw this post. As an example, you can screenshot a website and ask for specific feedback on how to improve it. ~ learn more

to your health · Oct 2023

How PCPs are penalized for positive outcomes from lifestyle change.

Here’s a doozy: “But a physician utilizing diet alone to achieve remission in a patient with type 2 diabetes is penalized financially because, when the risk is adjusted, diabetes is no longer listed among the patient's conditions. So, Medicare pays the physician less money.” ~ learn more