Pavel Sokolovsky

All posts

better doing · Jun 2024

Take ownership of your future self.

This feels related to the idea of using a secret identity or alter-ego to enhance your performance. “Your personality, skills, likes, and dislikes change over time — but that change isn’t out of your control. What can you do to become the version of yourself that you most want to be? Start by acknowledging the differences between your past, current, and future selves.” ~ learn more

under the microscope · Jun 2024

False-positive psychology.

“In this article, we show that despite the nominal endorsement of a maximum false-positive rate of 5% (i.e., p ≤ .05), current standards for disclosing details of data collection and analyses make false positives vastly more likely. In fact, it is unacceptably easy to publish “statistically significant” evidence consistent with any hypothesis.” ~ learn more

thoughts of food · Jun 2024

Food deserts are not the cause of nutritional inequality?

“Counterfactual simulations show that exposing low-income households to the same products and prices available to high-income households reduces nutritional inequality by only about 10%, while the remaining 90% is driven by differences in demand.” ~ learn more

big ideas · Jun 2024

The future of humanity’s energy no one knows about.

This video features Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries (disclosure: I’m invested!), who showcases the technology he developed for making natural gas from thin air. I never get tired of sharing content about this! ~ learn more

on the blockchain · Jun 2024

Are you ready for the Finternet?

“The bottleneck lies in the very architecture of how value is transferred from one customer to another — as messages flowing between trusted intermediaries. Supplanting it with a superior design will be less like replacing carrier pigeons with telegrams, and more like substituting the existing 700-year-old record-keeping system with something analogous to an internet protocol, built for finance.” ~ learn more

staying thirsty · Jun 2024

The growing importance of desalination.

“A deep dive into the booming desalination industry.” This article updated some of my prior beliefs about the current/future costs of desalination (making freshwater from seawater). The promise is better than ever! ~ learn more

fun facts · May 2024

Shipbreaking photographs.

“I looked upon the shipbreaking as the ultimate in recycling, in this case of the largest vessels ever made. It turned out that most of the dismantling was happening in India and Bangladesh so that's where I went.” ~ learn more

tech, startups, internet · May 2024

A grand unified theory of the AI hype cycle.

“Each of these cycles has been larger and lasted longer than the last, and I want to be clear: each cycle has produced genuinely useful technology. … There is an initial burst of rapid improvement, followed by gradual improvement, followed by a plateau. Initial promises imply or even state outright “if we pour more {compute, RAM, training data, money} into this, we’ll get improvements forever!” The reality is always that…