tech, startups, internet

Chain of Thoughtlessness.

This research makes the claim that using “Chain of Thought” prompting for LLMs does not generalize. I consider this evidence of LLM limitations (at least for now?). “This spotlights drawbacks of chain of thought, especially because of the sharp tradeoff […]

tech, startups, internet

Time sinks and money sinks.

“To dramatically oversimplify the internet, every product on the Internet is just one of two things…” I didn’t realize it at the start of my career, but one reason lots of other businesses didn’t make sense to me is because […]

tech, startups, internet

A grand unified theory of the AI hype cycle.

“Each of these cycles has been larger and lasted longer than the last, and I want to be clear: each cycle has produced genuinely useful technology. … There is an initial burst of rapid improvement, followed by gradual improvement, followed […]

tech, startups, internet

Apple’s great flattening.

Did you see that Apple ad? The one where they crushed all the creative tools of the last several centuries into one super-thin iPad. Creatives didn’t love it. This Stratechery piece uses the ad as a jumping off point for […]

tech, startups, internet

Are the flying cars finally here?

Yes! Well, almost! Okay, soon! Fine, someway! “People in the industry tend to think that flight is useful and awesome, and not necessarily in that order. One of the reasons that the idea of flying cars has endured is that […]

tech, startups, internet

Capabilities of Gemini models in medicine.

Google’s DeepMind research team made something really good. You might enjoy flipping through this paper and reading the exhibits. “Finally, Med-Gemini’s performance suggests real-world utility by surpassing human experts on tasks such as medical text summarization and referral letter generation, […]

tech, startups, internet

The geopolitics of AI: May 2024.

“This sequence of events illustrates how the AI arms race is making geopolitical divides simultaneously more fraught and simpler. In its quest to defend US companies’ IP and prevent China from accessing the most advanced capabilities, the US government is […]

tech, startups, internet

Wisdom of the silicon crowds.

Human forecasting accuracy gets much better when aggregating predictions from a lot of individuals. LLMs are especially bad forecasters compared to these human crowds. But what about crowds of LLMs? “Our finding opens the door for simple, practically applicable steps […]